Futures People, Who Are You?

Last month, we covered off the Six Horsemen of the Future-lypse and the resident activities of the future thinker: https://greyswanguild.medium.com/the-praxis-of-futurethinking-the-wrap-2-1-the-week-that-was-jan-7th-2022-c8c2cb850121
Source: LinkedIn data

A. The Entire Category Definers — four terms that encompass the broader future umbrella:

#1 Futures Thinking/Thinker

(4,000 appearances in LinkedIn Profiles, 210,000 appearances in Google searches) — in my opinion, this is the one that has the widest purview — futures thinking is defined as the creative and exploratory process that uses divergent thinking, seeking many possible answers and acknowledging uncertainty (but less interested in seeking the right answer); believes in a future that is not pre-determined, has a range of possible futures and understands the future can be actively shaped by the decisions we take today, used as a term and practice across strategy, design and policy realms. That captures most of the futures panorama (although not all, see my comment on forecasting below).

Source: Santhosh Gandhi — Futures Thinking and Design Thinking, Simply Explained

#2 Futurism

(7,700 in LinkedIn, 23,900,000 in Google) — I prefer this one but people rant about it being synonymous with the1920s Italian avant-garde art movement that emphasized the importance of progress and the future. Phonetically “ism” denotes action or practice, state or condition, principles, doctrines, a usage or characteristic, devotion or adherence, so isn’t the portmanteau futurism a naturally outcropping of a futurist?

Source: Component Activities of Being a Futurist — Eric Garland

#3 Futurology/Futurologist

(800 in LinkedIn, 2,200,000 in Google)— niche, although I find futurology has some hard core adherents. Usually referenced in social science circles, futurology is the study of current trends and social patterns in order to forecast future developments, design new institutions, and to propose alternative programs, although has a rich history in utopian and science fiction circles, the military, technology and governments have now practically applied it with increasing sophistication of their analytical techniques, which draw from such fields as mathematics, economics, environmental research, and computer science.

Source: Futurology Summit — Graphic Recording (TESOL)

#4 Futures Studies

(2,800 in LinkedIn, 458,000 in Google) — favoured in academic usage, futures studies is defined as the systematic, interdisciplinary and holistic study of social and technological advancement, and other environmental trends, often for the purpose of exploring how people will live and work in the future; fights for credibility on par with the other natural sciences but straddles between the areas of art and science, sometimes considered a pseudoscience, brings into a number of areas of study, disciplines and historical movements, favoured as the term for the profession of futurists and often shortened to simply futures.

Future Studies Source: Eszter Monda

#5 Futurist

(7,500 in LinkedIn, 153,000,000 in Google)- futurist is the word most often associated with the profession, with all of its accompanying plaudits (e.g. wonderful visionaries, seers, futurists and writers) and detriments (e.g. loosely informed, jack-of-all-trades, trend-watching pontificators) — a futurist is defined as a social scientist that forecasts what may happen in the future; those who attempt to systematically explore predictions and possibilities about the future and how they can emerge from the present, whether that of human society in particular or of life on Earth in general; is the professional term used to describe a wide and disparate set of professional, and academic groups as visionaries, foresight consultants, corporate strategists, policy analysts, cultural critics, planners, marketers, forecasters, prediction market developers, roadmappers, operations researchers, investment managers, actuaries, and other risk analyzers, and future-oriented individuals educated in every academic discipline; because of its breadth, it is one of the most popular terms but also suffers from ambiguity even as groups like the World Future Society, the Association of Professional Futurists and the World Futures Studies Federation try to define it and professionalize it.

#6 Futuring

(909 in LinkedIn, 486,000 in Google) futuring describes an overall active method — defined as a systematic process to think about the future, both analytical and generative; first popularized by Edward Cornish — founder of the World Futures Society; framing and forming possible scenarios for the future to gain insight into the best actions to take in the present.

Source: The Art of Futuring

#7 Futuristics

(747 in LinkedIn, 258,000 in Google) — the study or prediction of future developments on the basis of existing conditions; commonly used as a term in close association with design, art and space.

Source: Gallup, Clifton Strengths

#8 Futurization/Futurize

(315 in LinkedIn Profile, 240,000 in Google search) — rare but I have seen it used in conjunction with workplace change — defined as bringing into the future or making state of the art; modernization; usually appears as a general descriptor with an emphasis on action.

Source: FuturIze

#9 Futureproofing/Futureproofer:

(425 in LinkedIn, 5,100,000 in Google)— my mission outside of Guild life is to make this term synonymous with applied innovation, change and business models; a real focus on getting future-ready and having agency over the future (vs. prediction or straight line extrapolation) and inspiring actions now, as opposed to waiting for a never-0arriving future.

Source: Futureproofing : Next

#10 Strategic Foresight

(2,910 in LinkedIn, 437,000 in Google)- a structured and systematic way of using ideas about the future to anticipate and better prepare for change; it is about exploring different plausible futures that could arise, and the opportunities and challenges they could present; universities have started offering this as a more practical, nearer-in offering vs. full spectrum futurism; making strides in organizations it can be termed corporate foresight as well.

#11 Applied Foresight

(10 in LinkedIn, 17,900 in Google) - applied foresight provides tools and frameworks for supporting whatever you are trying to fuel with the future: the term is culture change, strategy, innovation, and personal development-oriented.

  • both Strategic & Applied Foresight have an action and strategy connotation and typically have a shorter time horizon than futurists
Source: UNDP

#12 Strategic Planning/Planner

(20,000,000 in LinkedIn, 64,000,000 in Google)- the most popular occupation that touches the futures universe, strategic planning is defined as an organizational management activity that is used to set priorities, focus energy and resources, strengthen operations; ensuring that employees and other stakeholders are working toward common goals, establishes agreement around intended outcomes/results, and assesses and adjusts the organization’s direction in response to a changing future environment; common in both corporate and service agency circles.

Source- OnStrategy Strategic Planning Overview

#13 Policy Planning/Planner

(40,600 in LinkedIn, 3,400,000 in Google)- policy planning is defined as the process of setting common principles, rules and regulations, which form the basis of day-to-day decisions; tending to be less flexible than strategy and often dealing with internal environments, a favoured role and term among national and local governments.

Source; Newcastle Government Policy Planning

#14 Culture Planning/Planner

(400 in LinkedIn, 306,000 in Google)- culture planning is defined as a place-based approach to planning and future development; a process for identifying and leveraging a community’s cultural resources, strengthening the management of those resources, and integrating those resources across all facets of local planning, future initiatives and decision making; commonly used in tourism, arts and local governments.

Source — Factors of planning culture…Ron van lammeren

#15 Innovation/Innovator

(3,110,000 in LinkedIn, 1,685,000,000 in Google)- the fourth most common job title and first searched term —innovation is broadly defined as the process through which economic and social value is extracted from knowledge through the generation, development, and implementation of ideas to produce new or improved strategies, capabilities, products, services, or processes (my company suggests it has 30 facets); innovation has been embraced by all disciplines and industries, especially over the last 30 years with many well-developed and studied branches (e.g. open innovation, social innovation, public innovation. customer innovation, radical innovation), but has baggage from its overuse, failure vs. expectations and not always being focused on the shifting future.

Source: iTonics

#16 Ventures/Venturist:

(567,000 in LinkedIn, 657,000,000 in Google) — ventures are defined as a new activity, usually in business, that involves risk and uncertainty; often focused in corporate circles around early stage capital and investments; given the nature of its participants, ventures have received just praise for their assumption of upfront risk taking into account an uncertain future but criticism for its short term nature, winner-take-all competitive streak and lack of sustained value.

#17 Disruptor/Creative Disruption & Destruction

(3,100 in LinkedIn, 2,510,000 in Google) —disruption is defined as a person, company, or technology that changes the way an industry operates, especially in a new or innovative way. Historically not a compliment, now a euphemism for being a change agent. Popularized by Joseph Schumpeter and the new, game-changing industry creation witnessed in the first part of the 20th century by such developments as Ford’s assembly line,

Source: TBWA — Principles of Disruption

#18 User Experience Researchers (UX)

(116,700 in LinkedIn, 5,700,000 in Google) — user experience research (or UX for short) is defined as the systematic study of target users and their requirements, to add realistic contexts and insights to design processes; UX researchers adopt various methods to uncover problems and design opportunities; used in close association with innovation, fast iteration startups and web-based entities; critiqued for not projecting customer needs in a future context.

#19 Design Thinking/Thinker

(464,200 in LinkedIn, 23,300,000 in Google)- design thinking is defined as a process for creative problem solving; pulling together what’s desirable from a human point of view with what is technologically feasible and economically viable; frequently cited as a core innovation process pioneered by IDEO and endorsed by d.schools everywhere with a premium on user empathy and group brainstorming; one of its challenges is frequently its premium on being different for the sake of being different, cognitive biases in development, and not fully accounting for a different future than what currently exists (masters of design programs MDes try to combat this handicap by marrying design with strategic foresight).

#20 Systems Thinking/Thinker

(32,300 in LinkedIn, 4,994,000 in Google)- system thinking is defined as a way of making sense of the complexity in the world by looking at it in terms of wholes and relationships rather than by splitting it down into its parts; systems thinking draws on and contributes to systems theory and the system sciences; appreciated for its accounting for relationships & circularities, often struggles to account for future shifts and explaining simply its conclusions to others.

#21 Futures

The use of the term futures implicitly suggests the exploration of multiple futures, but unless you modify it, it’s frequently seen as an investment mechanism and branch; you will often see it modified by some adjective (e.g. Corporate Futures, Strategic Futures etc.) to help explain what aspect of the future it is truly dealing with.

Three Types of Futures — Jaco Quist

#22 Changemaker/Changemaking

(16,200 in LinkedIn, 10,300,000 in Google) — changemaking is defined as one who desires change in the world and seeks out the knowledge and resources to make that change happen; frequently associated with social innovation and entrepreneurship; addresses the action gap frequently seen in social movements where intention doesn’t lead to future action.

Source: Ashoka

#23 Long Range Planning/Planner

(3,160 in LinkedIn, 2,805,000 in Google)- long range planning is defined as the process used to implement an organization’s strategic plan and aligning the business’ long-term goals and developing action plans in line with a strategic plan; depending upon the type of business, the time scale for long-range plans can vary from three years through to one or two decades; frequently driven or entrenched in the financial planning group.

Source; FP&A Long Range Planning Eras

#24 Scenario Planning/Planner

(9,620 in LinkedIn, 1,704,000 in Google)- scenario planning is defined as a way to assert control over an uncertain world by identifying assumptions about the future and determining how your organization will respond; scenario plans, ultimately, tell a story with many possible endings; some organizations have institutionalized groups that evaluate and stress test preferred outlooks, blind spots, weak areas, wild card events and improbable developments.

Source; SME Strategy

#25 Scenario Modeling

(328 in LinkedIn , 1,318,000 in Google)- scenario modeling is defined as an examination of a range of potential futures (instead of attempting to predict just one future); explores the differences between possible futures and facilitates investigations into how decisions around those situations would directly and indirectly impact the organization.

Source: Scenario Analysis
Yousra Tourki, Jeffrey Keisler & Igor Linkov

#26 Horizon Scanning/Scanner

(1,680 in LinkedIn, 819,000 in Google)- horizon scanning is defined as an organized formal process of gathering, analyzing and disseminating future-driven and value-added information from external and internal environments to support decision making.

Source; Futures Platform: Horizon Scanning and Vigilance Concerning Changes

#27 Emerging Technology/Technologist

(13,100 in LinkedIn, 23,640,000 in Google)- emerging technology is defined as a term and area describing new technologies, but it may also refer to the continuing development of an existing technologies; with different definitions and time frames depending on media, business, science, or education industry referred to; commonly orients itself around technologies that are currently developing, or that are expected to be available within the next five to ten years, and usually reserved for technologies that are creating, or are expected to create, significant social or economic effects.

Top 30 Emerging Technologies — Sean Moffitt. Futureproofing:Next

#28 Cultural Strategist /Cultural Foresight

(650 in LinkedIn, 465,000 in Google )- cultural strategy/foresight is defined as a field of practice that centers artists, storytellers, media makers and cultural influencers as agents of social change; like all strategic practices, it requires goal-setting, a theory of change, an understanding of audience, and a commitment to meaningful evaluation and learning.

Source: Designing Cultural Observation System http://www.growingscience.com/dsl/Vol7/dsl_2018_9.pdf

#29 Metaverse/Web 3 Strategist (already ugh)

(65 in LinkedIn, 26,000 in Google)- in the process of mainstreaming itself, web 3 strategy & planning is defined as a process of integrating and blurring the line between physical and virtual reality, and changes how we experience the world to reach new audiences, improve experiences, and explore future potential revenue streams.

#30 Researcher, Trends Researcher, Trend Analyst

(4,100,000 in LinkedIn, 17,295,000 in Google)- trends research & analysis involves the sourcing, identification, analysis of effects and implications and fit for future, focusing work on key microtrends, ciountertrends, shifts and metatrends, and their intersections and projected impact.

Source — Reframing the Future — Vision, Foresight & Strategy

#31 Forecasting/Forecaster

(3,950,000 in LinkedIn, 843,000,000 in Google)- forecasting is defined as a technique that uses historical data as inputs to make informed estimates that are predictive in determining the direction of future trends; employing time series, cross-sectional or longitudinal data, or alternatively less formal judgmental methods or the process of prediction and resolution itself; some of have used the term strategic forecasting to suggest a more sophisticated approach to future projection; predictions are more general elements of forecasting.

#32 Speculative Design/Futures

(800 in LinkedIn Profile, 240,500 in Google search) — speculative design is defined as efforts to identify and debate crucial issues that might happen in the future, future consequences and implications of the relationship between science, technology, and humans; accentuating issues by often proposing provocative future design scenarios where technology and design implications come together poorly; can be effective in dramatizing future effects and changing minds but also suffers commercially by frequently being subversive, irreverent and not commercially driven.

#33 Future Fiction

(50 in LinkedIn, 5,100,000 in Google) — future fiction is a broad literary genre encompassing any fiction with supernatural, fantastical, or futuristic elements, both near and far in orientation, and carrying off themes that may be socially relevant for today’s audience and/or commercially interesting in learning and reapplication for the long-term.

Source: Imagining the Future (Timothy Merritt)

#34 Science Fiction

(12,000 in LinkedIn, 1,010,000,000 in Google) — science fiction is extraordinarily popular but usually almost exclusively a literary or entertainment term; a genre of speculative fiction which typically deals with imaginative and futuristic concepts such as advanced science and technology, space exploration, time travel, parallel universes, and extraterrestrial life; used to inspire a “sense of wonder” and provide entertainment, and also criticize present-day society and explore alternatives. It sometimes suffers from challenges in its application, interpretation and justification.

Source: Comparing Science Fiction & Foresight (Aharon Hauptman)

#35 Transhumanism/Transhumanist

(300 in LinkedIn, 9,500,000 in Google)- transhumanism is defined as a social and philosophical movement devoted to promoting the research and development of robust human-enhancement technologies (e.g. augment or increase human sensory reception, emotive ability, or cognitive capacity as well as radically improve human health and extend human life spans). Very human-centred but is coloured by ethical issues and brings into scope the existential questions of life itself.

#36 Singularity

(19,000 in LinkedIn, 134,000,000 in Google)- singularity is the study of junctures and points in time at which technological growth becomes uncontrollable and irreversible, resulting in unforeseeable changes to human civilization. The first to use the concept of a “singularity” in the technological context was John von Neumann and has had it popular advocates and critics ever since. Singularity (the organization) has created a thriving community and enterprise of people gathered around a trust in technology, but others have strong call for safeguards and qualifications on unfettered technology progress.

Schematic Timeline of Information & Replicators in the Biosphere https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_singularity#/media/File:Major_Evolutionary_Transitions_digital.jpg

#37 Cyberpunk

(266 in LinkedIn, 101,000,000 in Google)- cyberpunk is a popular sub-genre of science fiction in a dystopian futuristic setting that tends to focus on a “combination of lowlife and high tech”, featuring futuristic technological and scientific achievements, such as artificial intelligence and cybernetics, juxtaposed with societal collapse or decay. Cemented as a storytelling genre by William Gibson’s landmark novel Neuromancer, Ridley Scott’s Blade Runner and Katsuhiro Otomo’s Akira, in a modern context, cyberpunk can provide social commentary, offer guardrails to city development, and technological innovation.

Source: Stephen Poe

#38 Future Now

(1,600 in LinkedIn, 3,650,000 in Google)- Future Now is defined as the mission and call to action of bringing the future forward by equipping people with future mindsets, inspirations and tools, providing synopses of what people in the future might write about and backcasting back to the present.

The Three Mindsets of Time — The Three Mindsets of Time mapped to personality traits (Furey and Fortunato 2012)

#39 Future Hacking

(20 in LinkedIn, 318,000 in Google) — Future Hacking is the reinvention of futures and technologies that are initially designed a certain way, and subsequent manipulation (i.e. hacking) exploits for either good or bad uses and applications other than originally intent; has a strong cyber security bent.

#40 Future You

(533 in LinkedIn, 19,500,000 in Google) — Future You is an area where individuals and teams navigate the future, one experiment at a time, empowering themselves to a more meaningful, thriving life by designing and developing the world they want and placing humanity above technology; a big personal empowerment bent; brought into popular use by a TV show, Brian David Johnson book, an NPR monthly documentary and a public service campaign around STEM education.

Source: Interview your Future Self: Paiva

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